[The following is based on a presentation I gave last year at
the 20th Winter Chaos Conference in Montpelier, VT on March 23, 2012. Originally entitled “A Complexity Theory of
Politics”, I now find it more appropriate to call it “A Complexity Theory of
Power”.]
35 years ago, I made a bold claim
when I wrote that “…dictatorship can be described as the politics of the
probable or the politics of entropy and democracy as the politics of the
improbable or the politics of negative entropy. Because democratic and
dictatorial systems are in these terms respectively analogous to open and
closed thermodynamic systems, we may begin to speculate about the possible
future development of a science of political thermodynamics” (McCullough, 1977).
I spent the better part of the 1970s
focused on this prospect. Given that, over three decades later, I still don’t
hear people talking quite along these lines, perhaps the wisest course
of action is to let these ideas rest in peace.
But, in recent times, I have been drawn back into this line of thought
as if pulled by some strange attractor.
In the process, I have found myself combining perspectives of complexity
theory and political power theory. The
result is something which extends beyond political systems to broader processes, what I am calling a complexity theory of power.
I will get into the logic
behind my theoretical speculations then and now – but first I’d like to say a few words about the personal experience that launched
me on this out of the mainstream trajectory. These ideas grew directly out of living
in Brazil
for almost three years during the height of its military dictatorship. I
arrived in Sao Paulo , Brazil in late 1968 with the Peace
Corps. Three weeks later, on December
13, 1968 , there was a coup within the military coup in which hardliners took over the already
four year old authoritarian
regime. This action ushered in an
ominous new phase which most analysts now characterize as the most politically
repressive period in Brazilian history. On
that day, Brazil ’s
military shut down the national
Congress, replaced civilian with military
judges on the Supreme Court, instituted rule by “decree-law’, placed
censors in the newsrooms of all major media and suspended habeas corpus. Most horribly it instituted a regime of
torture of political opponents. These
repressive policies made Brazil
a pariah nation in many quarters at the time.
An authoritarian U.S. foreign policy which embraced such regimes as long
as they had an anti-communist intent became even more hard-edged in the
Nixon-Kissinger era that had just begun.
As someone
who had been involved in 1960s civil rights and anti-war protests in various
ways, I fully expected that there would be massive demonstrations in the
streets, just as there had been earlier that year in Brazil when huge protests against
the dictatorship were held in major cities.
I was shocked when these draconian actions by the military were greeted with
silence. Not long into my stay I jotted
in a notebook “the silence is deafening”.
What I was beginning to learn at that point and what I would discover over
my three years in the country was that a dictatorship, one that lasts– and the
Brazilian dictatorship lasted 21 years – actually succeeds in turning normal
political behavior into a crime. Although
the military regime gradually
liberalized before it finally permitted resumption of civilian presidential
elections in 1985, the government I saw in action in those years was, you might
say, a full throttle dictatorship. Such
a regime succeeds in putting a lid on street demonstrations, on political
expression in the media, popular music and other art forms, and on
organizations that can in any way question its authority. Employing the classic tools of dictatorship –
censorship, arbitrary arrest and imprisonment, varied degrees of coercion,
brutality and violence including torture and sometimes murder of regime
opponents, it inculcates a politically paralyzing climate of fear. It makes the price of opposition too high for
most people and imposes in the end an eerie political silence in which the
illusion of order and conformity masks the reality of a political life in
shambles.
Weeks before leaving the country in
1971, I had a sort of epiphany-like, “Aha!” moment. A single idea rose to the forefront of my
mind: the concept of information. Information,
I concluded, was the analytical key to understanding the entire dictatorial
phenomenon. Among the various things
that ended up pointing me in this direction, were official pronouncements by
the regime that revealed a high degree of interest in controlling information. I remember, for example, reading one official
statement in Rio ’s Jornal do Brasil
that prohibited all messages public or private, direct or indirect, which in
any manner violated national security.
While there was no way the regime could enforce such a drastic policy –
it would have required an effort of totalitarian proportions – I was struck by the
fact that elements within the regime had conceived their task of political
repression in terms of message control.
It gave me a framework for viewing not only the strict media censorship in
effect at the time but the way in which the vast majority of people ended up censoring
themselves with anything having to do with politics.
After I settled back into the U.S. in
Manhattan in 1972, I began looking into the concept of information and soon
encountered a strange notion -- Claude Shannon’s definition of information as
negative entropy. Having been an English
Lit major with little scientific background, perhaps I should have turned
around and run the other way. But, as I
investigated this view of information, a number of things drew me in. I
was amazed to discover (through readings like Norbert Weiner’s Human
Use of Human Beings) that entropy
could be viewed as a measure of the sameness or conformity in a system. It
had an uncanny resonance with way I viewed the dictatorship. If information was the negation of entropy,
would not its systemic suppression by a dictatorship constitute a politics of
entropy? Indeed “political entropy”
seemed to be an apt description of the marginalization of political activity,
the imposition of political conformity and the snuffing out of political
life. And, if entropy was a measure of
disorder, was not the suppression of information an indicator of disorder,
making the dictatorship a force of disorder, the polar opposite of its proud
claim to champion order? This was
certainly a counter-intuitive notion in terms of the popular association of
“dictatorship” with “order” but it seemed an ideal way of criticizing the dictatorship
so I eagerly grabbed onto it.
Further encouraging me to pursue
this line of investigation was Wiener’s depiction of entropy as a concept on
the frontlines of a probability revolution that was overthrowing Newtonian
absolutism. I imagined that such a
concept could also be fashioned into a means to criticize political absolutism
of the sort I had just witnessed in Brazil. At this same time, a West Side
neighbor (whose name I no longer recall) who got the drift of where I was
headed loaned me Ludwig von Bertalanffy’s General System Theory. Somehow
my Brazilian experience had plunged me into the fledgling efforts to find
common ground between the natural sciences and the human sciences by way of the
political.
[Part of a 3-23-2012 presentation to be
continued.]
References
McCullough,
Michael F., “Teilhard and the Information Revolution”, The Teilhard Review,
February 1977
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